Chris Tubby – [“Find out more” – CLICK AND GOES TO INFO BELOW HERE]
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Chris Tubby [from FIND OUT MORE above]
Why inflation’s not going down soon…
“Inflation is sticky due to companies pushing profit margins as far as possible. Energy inflation is stabilising, however food inflation remains at its highs as food giants take advantage of consumers.
Cost savings are not being passed on from company to consumer. Supply chains are improving but not there yet, leaving shortages in certain sectors.
Russia could decide not to renew the Black Sea agreement which allows exports from Ukraine due to the G7 considering a full ban on Russia.
Finally China reopening has not really hit yet except for luxury goods. This is due to them depleting their stockpiles before rebuilding so this has six month plus lag.
It will take months of 0.17% inflation to meet the 2% target rate. Inflation will drop not from rates but from high prices cutting demand.
We have seen peak inflation but that does not get inflation back to the target level! Basically central banks need to destroy demand with a recession and then carefully and slowly reboot it.
My trade on this…
If I am right about this inflation scenario, then my TRADE to profit is to SHORT the Nasdaq by selling the index at around 13200 and above.
To discuss this or ANY other trades or trading issue (whether just starting out or professional level) contact Chris on Chris.tubby@gmail.com +44 7738 613399 or use his contact form]
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